pico-JEPA v2

When Do Many Small Models Beat One Big Model?

Adrián Rostagno · Javier Iparraguirre · Roberto Briatore · Agustín González · Santiago Aggio

Universidad Tecnológica Nacional, Facultad Regional Bahía Blanca, Argentina

CACIC 2026 — XXXII Congreso Argentino de Ciencias de la Computación · Concepción del Uruguay, Entre Ríos, Argentina · 5–9 October 2026

Abstract

pico-JEPA learns to represent videos without labels, on a machine you can keep under a desk. In this second version we test a simple idea: instead of training one model on all the data, train several small models — each on a different slice — and combine their predictions. We evaluate on 30 Kinetics-700 classes with a compact ~3.4M-parameter network trained on a single desktop GPU.

The main result: when the ensemble's members are diverse and their predictions are combined by a learned meta-model (stacking), the ensemble beats the single model by +5.10 percentage points, with formal statistical significance. But the advantage is not universal — two controlled experiments show it vanishes if the backbone is too small or if there are too few classes. Rather than a yes-or-no validation, our central contribution is a map of the conditions under which the collective wisdom of small models beats the single large one.

Key results

+5.10 percentage-point gap over the single model (stacking, 95% CI [+0.68, +9.19])
9 / 9 holdout measurements favouring the ensemble across the search
3.4M parameters in the backbone, trained on one desktop GPU
30 Kinetics-700 classes, 4 ensemble submodels

Ensemble top-1 accuracy by aggregation method

Stacking +5.10 pp · CI [+0.68, +9.19] · SUPPORTED
11.90%
Hard voting +2.04 pp · CI [−1.70, +5.78] · INCONCLUSIVE
8.84%
Soft voting +1.70 pp · CI [−2.04, +6.12] · INCONCLUSIVE
8.50%
Weighted voting +0.68 pp · CI [−2.72, +4.42] · INCONCLUSIVE
7.48%

dashed line: single model, 6.80%

Ensemble accuracy by aggregation method. Only stacking beats the single model with formal significance — its confidence interval is the only one that excludes zero. Exact values in the table below.

How the predictions are combined (4 heterogeneous submodels; single model: 6.80%). The verdict is supported when the bootstrap 95% confidence interval excludes zero.

Combination Accuracy Gap 95% CI lower Verdict
Stacking11.90%+5.10 pp+0.68 SUPPORTED
Hard voting8.84%+2.04 pp−1.70 INCONCLUSIVE
Soft voting8.50%+1.70 pp−2.04 INCONCLUSIVE
Weighted voting7.48%+0.68 pp−2.72 INCONCLUSIVE

When it works — and when it doesn't

Two controlled experiments mark the boundaries. Shrinking the backbone or narrowing the class space pushes the submodels toward the same solution, so the diversity that stacking exploits never appears — and the advantage disappears with it.

Controlled experiments (stacking). The ensemble's advantage needs a backbone with enough capacity and a wide class space.

Variant Width d Classes Gap Verdict
Main19230+5.10 pp SUPPORTED
Lower capacity12830+0.00 pp REJECTED
Few classes19210−1.50 pp REJECTED

Takeaway

For anyone working under tight compute: splitting your data across several small models can win, but not for free. You have to design the diversity (different heads), learn the combination (stacking rather than voting), and check that the problem has enough room — capacity and classes — for that diversity to exist at all.

Limitations

Four caveats bound these conclusions. The holdout is small (294 videos), so individual intervals are wide. Absolute accuracies are low (~12% over 30 classes, about 3.6× chance), reflecting an encoder pre-trained on only 3,000 videos — some 670× less data than the original V-JEPA. Ensemble diversity is confined to the classification head: all submodels share one encoder, because training several encoders exceeded the available hardware. And the results come from a single encoder training run, so initialisation variability is not captured by the reported intervals.

BibTeX

@inproceedings{rostagno2026picov2,
  title     = {pico-JEPA v2: ¿Cuándo Superan Muchos Modelos Pequeños a Uno Grande?},
  author    = {Rostagno, Adrián and Iparraguirre, Javier and Briatore, Roberto
               and González, Agustín and Aggio, Santiago},
  booktitle = {XXXII Congreso Argentino de Ciencias de la Computación (CACIC)},
  year      = {2026},
  address   = {Concepción del Uruguay, Entre Ríos, Argentina},
  month     = {October}
}